Donald Trump as well as Attorney General Jeff Sessions prefer to speak about “political violence” or “despicable acts” instead of “terrorism”, when referring to the bomb mailings presumably sent by Sayoc. New York governor Andrew Cuomo did talk about “terrorism” from the beginning. Sessions left the door open to broaden up the five current charges against Sayoc as the investigations unfold. For now, they include illegal mailing of explosives and threats against former presidents.

Regarding the shooting of Robert Bowers in the Tree of Life sinagogue in Pittsburgh which resulted in 11 deaths, the public safety director of the city Wendell Hissrich confirmed in a press conference the massacre “falls under hate crime” (which in Pittsburgh can lead to a death penalty, The New York Times said). The Antidefamation League (ADL) itself -an organization founded to fight antisemitism which now fighst as well against other sorts of hatred- called on authorities “to investigate (the attack) as a hate crime”.

>>> You may also read: Fox News says George Soros is “subject of many unfounded conspiracy theories” from the right<<<

So, what is the right way to call these attacks? One of the major researchers on terrorism in the US and a leading expert worldwide is Bruce Hoffman, a professor at Georgetown University and director of the Center for Security Studies. He said to Salam Plan: “Hate crimes and terrorism are not mutually exclusive. They are the same and it baffles me why such distinctions are made. Certainly, the mail bombs and Pittsburgh shooting, according to my definition, are acts of terrorism.”*

“The mail bombs and Pittsburgh shooting are acts of terrorism”

— Bruce Hoffman, Georgetown professor

Let’s see how he comes to that conclusion, which is not only his at all. Experts from around the world have been trying to get a straight answer to the meaning of “terrorism” for decades and there is still no final consensus. But they agree on basic common characteristics and an essential aspect that differentiates the terrorist attack from what is not.

Hoffman recognizes there are many different visions. In his book Inside Terrorism (Ed. Columbia University Press), he devotes up to the first 44 pages to, literally, “defining terrorism”, the very title of the first chapter. A historical review of the phenomenon, which emerged with the anarchist movement at the end of the 19th century, demonstrates the changing meaning of the word and the way it is carried out. But at the same time it confers clarity on characteristics which have remained over time.

Political or ideological motivation is essential

Hoffman concludes that for an act to be described as a terrorist attack nowadays, the following aspects must converge:

• “ineluctably” political in aims and motivations, it is “propaganda by deed”;
• violent or with threat of violence;
• planned to achieve “far-reaching” psychological repercussions beyond the immediate victim or target;
• carried out by an organization “with an identifiable chain of command or a conspiratorial cell structure” or by individuals or a small group of them inspired by a terrorist group;
• perpetrated by a “subnational” group or a non-state entity.

Hoffman also cites a detailed study carried out in the 1980s by Alex P. Schmid in which that researcher compared more than 100 definitions of “terrorism” in an attempt to come up with the final definition. He did not succeed, but he did draw up a list of the concepts that appeared most often as part of those definitions. The three most mentioned and coinciding were in the following order:

• violence or force (83.5%)
• political (65%)
• fear or emphasis on terror (51%).

Other concepts, such as “threat” or “psychological effects” only appeared in less than half of those definitions, although these two were those which followed in frequency to the ones previously mentioned.

So the concept “political violence” used by Trump and Sessions to refer to the frustrated attacks of Sayoc would directly fit into the common charasteristics of what terrorism is, according to more than 100 definitions. Also the explosive devices were not a hoax, as the FBI director Chris Wray confirmed.

The three most mentioned concepts in more than 100 definitions of “terrorism” are: “violence”, “political” and “fear”. So the concept “political violence” used by Trump and Sessions to refer to the mail bombs of Sayoc would directly fit into it.

Lieutenant-Colonel Manuel González Fernández, analyst professor of geopolitics and the so-called “jihadist” terrorism at the Spanish Gutiérrez Mellado Institute, argues that a terrorist is someone who carries out “acts of indiscriminate violence to modify or change political wills, organizations or societies.” In his opinion it is a concept that is based more on the aims than the actions themselves: “If by attacking a mosque you get people to fear going to the mosque or you provoke the need of a stronger police deployment, you are a terrorist,” he explains in his classes.

González Fernández offers another note that helps understand how terrorists act: “We see a squared chessboard with limitations, while they see a clear board. They can appear on any square of the board.” Thus, he agrees with Hoffman, who also points out the absence of the rules of war in his book, because a conventional war must be produced respecting aspects such as: not killing civilians, respecting countries and neutral actors, not taking enemy hostages, giving a correct treatment to war prisoners… Rules which, by the way, are similarly defined in the Q’ran.

>>> You may also read: The true meaning of ‘jihad’ and how ISIS fails to accomplish it<<<

Georgetown professor Hoffman admits that also in the conventional wars these rules are sometimes breached, but he indicates that those cases qualify as a “war crime”. In the case of terrorists, they violate these basic rules systematically.

“We see a squared chessboard with limitations, while terrorists see a clear board. They can appear on any square of the board”

— Manuel González Fernández, Gutiérrez Mellado Institute

Rafael Calduch is professor of International Public Law and International Relations at the Complutense University of Madrid. International terrorism is among his main research approaches. He defines terrorism through six conditions:

“1. Political relationship strategy based on

2. the use of violence and threats of violence by

3. an organized group, in order to induce a

4. feeling of terror or extreme insecurity in a

5. non-belligerent human collectivity and

6. thus, facilitate the achievement of their demands”.

What about ‘lone wolves’ or ‘lone actors’?

For Calduch, the so-called “lone wolves” commit acts of terror, but they are “fanatics who act at their own risk” and do not consider them terrorists, because he attributes to the latter a strategy, with “planning, tactics and logistics”.

The differentiation between “wolf” (non-terrorist act) and “lone actor” (in a terrorist context) extends among researchers: Hoffman’s definition of terrorism includes precisely the lone actors and avoids the concept of “wolf”.

>>> Follow Salam Plan- ‘journalism against hate’ on Twitter and Facebook<<<

Lieutenant González Fernández reminds that Osama bin Laden already incited to the solitary action in 1993. This military professor also redefines the attackers usually called “lone wolves” in the media to “coyotes”. From his point of view, a “coyote” is an actor who is part of an operative cell, because they do not self-finance, they do not use means autonomously, they do not radicalize themselves, but rather with books and the internet.

The researchers on global terrorism of the Elcano Royal Institute, Fernando Reinares and Carola García-Calvo, also prefer to talk about lone actors for similar reasons.

What stays clear after comparing the analyses of all these terrorism experts is that for a violent attack to be described as a “terrorist attack” there must be a political or ideological motivation behind it.

Neo- nazi and ISIS terrorists

So not any massive attack against civilians by a group or a person can be described as a terrorist act, even if Daesh (ISIS name in Arabic) assures that it was carried out in its name. This was the case in Las Vegas attack on October 1st 2017, where the FBI dismissed the vindication of this terrorist organization. Although it is known that its author, Stephen Paddock, planned the attack, the absence of his motivations prevents his classification as a terrorist.

As for the investigation on the van strike in Toronto carried out by Alek Minassian on April 23rd 2018, authorities spoke about it as an “incident” at that time. The suspect killed ten people and injured another 13 in what appeared to be a “deliberate” act, according to Toronto Police, but no political or ideological motivations seemed to be behind this tragedy. Therefore, he was charged with counts of murder and attempted murder, not terrorism.

Terrorist attacks were committed by Anders Breivik in Norway -who with neo-Nazi ideology killed 77 people (mostly young people of the Norwegian Socialist Party) in July 2011- or Ali David Sonboly in Munich in 2016, also with neo-Nazi ideology. Those were terrorist attacks just as the ones perpetrated by followers of ISIS terrorist group.

“All the attacks that have taken place lately (in the West) have had two types of reaction: if the author was from a European (non-Muslim) family, a reason for mental illness has been sought, or a rare situation… But name a Muslim as a possible author of an attack, then there is no need to explain more,” professor Emeritus of Arab and Islamic Studies at the University of Barcelona, ​​Dolors Bramon, complains.

This happened in the case of Breivik (the court which tried him, assessed the possibility of a mental illnessand but ended up dismissing it and he has to serve a prison sentence) and in Sonboly (killed in the attack). For Bramon, this is a sign of the Islamophobia implicit in the West societies which appears after each new attack and she asks to avoid it.

>>> Follow Salam Plan- ‘journalism against hate’ on Twitter and Facebook<<<

* This article was first published in Decembre 2017. It has been updated on Octobre 29th of 2018.

La entrada Why some attacks are considered terrorist acts and others not se publicó primero en Salam Plan.

Can we speak of a real takeover of Raqqa (Syria), which ISIS considers its capital? Colonel Ryan Dillon, a spokesman for the US-led coalition against the terrorist group, acknowledged on Tuesday that 10% of the city was yet to be “cleared”. Something similar happened in the case of the other main stronghold Daesh had in Mosul (Iraq): weeks passed since the Iraqi forces announced it had been “freed” until it was effectively cleared of the terrorists’ partial control.

In the present case, however, there are three important elements that make the difference in what the defeat of Daesh there will mean: the forces which have taken the control of the city, its geographic conditions and the cumulative effect of the strategic military losses of the group.

It is Kurdish militias -supported by the US- who have taken control of Raqqa in the middle of a Syrian war with many more open battle fields, while in the Iraqi Mosul it was the government forces that recovered the territory with the aim of rebuilding the country, as RUSI’s UK counter-terrorism expert, Raffaello Pantucci, points out.

“They (the terrorists) are completeley surrounded, so there is an inevitability that the group will eventually loose the territory. The problem is in Syria you’ve got a different array of groups: from Syrian Defence Forces [opposing Bashar al-Assad] to Kurdish forces to Syrian Government forces… a lot of people who’re fighting against ISIS, non of whom really work with each other and some of them are even fighting against each other. So the real question is who’s gonna step in and fill the space to rebuild the city?”, he tells Salam Plan.

The security and defense senior analyst at the Spanish Elcano Royal Institute, Félix Arteaga, agrees with the diagnosis and adds an essential difference in the practical and military aspect for the future of Raqqa and Daesh: the city is much smaller than Mosul in terms of size and population. In the case of Mosul, it was initially said that the number of besieged people were one million, but then it turned out to be less, he recalls. In Raqqa, initially the estimated inhabitants were initially 60,000, but the current number has been reduced to between 2,000 and 3,000 inhabitants, taking into account those who fled and those who died.

“Raqqa is smaller than Mosul (…). It will take some time not only to recognize that it is controlled, but also that it is open, which is the important thing: to remove at least all the landmines in the main entrances (to the city) and check every single house out. That will take a lot less (than in Mosul),”says Arteaga to this website. “ISIS has already strategically lost the city, (although) there are always sympathizers who might come back. It’s a city where they had quite a number of supporters”. Pantucci also warns of the difficulty of completely eradicating the presence of the Daesh in the city: “At the end of the day, it’s quite a confusing battlefield: you’re dealing with urban warfare, there’s people there who are melting back into the population and you’ve got lots of groups fighting over it”.

ISIS has already strategically lost the city, (although) there are always sympathizers who might come back. It’s a city where they had quite a number of supporters.

Arteaga believes that Assad, who has the support of Russia, Iran and more and more of Turkey, will eventually take control of Raqqa. Pantucci explains that the Kurdish militias have no interest in ruling the city, because it is neither Kurdish nor those groups have governing experience. The Western forces are also not likely to be in charge of rebuilding the Raqqa, since they intervene in Syria only from the air or by supporting third parties such as the Kurds. “It remains a very dangerous site”, RUSI expert sums up.

At the same time, Daesh’s terrorists and their chiefs continue their retreat towards the south of the once-called “capital” of their self-proclaimed caliphate. They are settling near the Iraqi border in sparsely populated areas, where other actors in the Syrian war have no special interest. Arteaga explains there they still have access to some oil, but their main source of funding – the tax system imposed on the inhabitants of the areas they dominate – no longer gives the income they were used to.

“Their main source of funding – the tax system imposed on the inhabitants of the areas they dominate – no longer gives the income they were used to”

He recognizes that the control of territories once meant a “qualitative leap” for the terrorists and estimates that the actions Daesh has taken openly since 2014 in the region, now will have to go “underground, with low profile, (because) they are very marked in areas where they’ve lost material means, etc. Living at the expense of the population as they have done (until now) will be very complicated. ”

For this analyst, the loss of Raqqa hardly means changes for the Daesh when it comes to a practical point of view. In fact, he considers that the relevance of this defeat for the terrorist group would barely reach 5 on a scale of 1 to 10. “The importance is not the same now than what it would have meant a few years ago. It is already one loss after another (and) the organization is already in a dynamic to contain damages and restructure itself. They have known for some time that the fall of Raqqa is inevitable. They’ve been pulling troops to the southern border. Its loss has more a symbolic, moral meaning.” (Take a look at the map of the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) and Syria Direct).

Pantucci agrees: “Losing the ‘capital’ in Syria is embarrassing and definitely a demonstration that you’re losing the territory. But it’s not the end of the group, (which) will continue to evolve in a new direction”. He reminds that the terrorist group “has been around since the late 1990’s. I think what we’re going to see now is them going back to be a much smaller organization, rather than a ‘state-controlled’ entity”.

Losing the ‘capital’ in Syria is embarrassing and definitely a demonstration that you’re losing the territory. What we’re going to see now is them going back to be a much smaller organization, rather than a ‘state-controlled’ entity

Meanwhile, in ISIS affiliated groups in Egypt are also trying to impose their radical vision of jihad through laws in some places, according to some reports. Their particular presence in Libya, Afghanistan or scattered throughout Africa and Europe is not to be ignored either.

Is there more danger of attacks on European soil and other parts of the world after taking over Raqqa? Neither Pantucci nor Arteaga believe so. “It is always possible, but even if they win, too. When they were winning (on the battlefield), people went there (to join them). Now [since some time ago] the diaspora has reversed and increased risk in all scenarios,” says the Elcano expert. “They have a real basic (battlefield knowledge) wherever they go, which comes from the experience in Syria,” he adds. But the RUSI analyst recalls that most of the attacks committed so far on European soil by Daesh or sympathisers were perpetrated by terrorists who had not moved to the territory then controlled by the self-styled “Islamic State” Prior to their attack.

The chief of MI5 has said in an interview with the BBC that there are 3,000 extremists in the United Kingdom; “a number of whom” are former foreign fighters who returned from Syria and Iraq*. It is an example of the situation accross several European countries. But this does not mean that each one of them is ready or willing to kill, according to MI5 and Pantucci as well.

The end of Raqqa is an important step in Daesh’s accumulation of military and moral defeats, but more and more the voices of experts and governments agree that reducing the fight against terrorism to a security and military issue would be a mistake.

*Correction: Initially this report said “about 700” of the extremists in UK are returnees, but that is the approximate number of more than 800 British foreign fighters who went to join ISIS in Syria or Iraq and remain alive. We apologize for any inconvenience this error might have cause the reader.

La entrada ISIS’ defeat in Raqqa stronghold is not as <br>game-changing as you might think se publicó primero en Salam Plan.